In a season that has been unspectacular at best, we come to the last three weeks of the NFL regular season with some playoff spots up for grabs.
While some teams have had playoff spots wrapped up since April, there are still some playoff spots up for grabs, and a division race that is still ripe for the taking.
We have known that the Patriots and Colts were playoff bound months before the season started, and that has showed with their play throughout the season as they are the top two teams in the NFL.
However, it has also been full of surprises, as teams like the Cleveland Browns, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Buffalo Bills, and Minnesota Vikings are all in the playoff hunt.
However, not everyone can make the playoffs, so we take a look as to who is going to be playing come January and who will be left at home watching.
AFC
Currently:
1. New England Patriots (13-0)
2. Indianapolis Colts (11-2)
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-4)
4. San Diego Chargers (8-5)
5. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4)
6. Cleveland Browns (8-5)
- Buffalo Bills (7-6)
- Tennessee Titans (7-6)
- Houston Texans (7-7)
It’s a foregone conclusion that the Patriots and Colts will finish 1-2 in the AFC, and it seems like a lock that the Chargers will win the AFC West and one of the next two spots in the conference. The AFC North, however, is surprisingly up for grabs. Pittsburgh has not played well as of late, and the Browns are now only a game behind them. However, Cleveland lost both of their games to the Steelers this season, so we can expect that Pittsburgh will beat at least St. Louis and Baltimore to wrap up their division, although they will have a tough time against the Jaguars this weekend. The Jags currently sit in the 5 slot in the AFC, and should wrap that up when they finish the season with the Raiders and Texans.
That brings us to the final spot, where four teams are battling it out. Cleveland has been the darlings of the NFL all season long, bouncing back from a 4-12 season last year with a no-name quarterback, an aging running back, and a core group of young receivers helping to overcome their porous defense. They score almost 28 points a game, good for 5th in the NFL behind New England, Dallas, Indianapolis, and Green Bay. Buffalo, on the other hand, has guided itself through the season without a true identity on offense, managing only 17 points per game. However, they have found ways to win games, which is vital in the NFL. Next we see Tennessee, who was once 6-2 and going into a huge game against Jacksonville. Since, they have lost 4 of their last 5 and have plummeted out of the playoff picture. Their defense has been atrocious as of late, although the return of Albert Haynesworth should help them down the stretch. They should get a win against a fading Chiefs team who has lost 5 straight before going up against the Jets and the Colts. This takes us to the long-shot Texans, who just came off a Thursday night win against the Broncos, keeping their slim hops alive. However, they finish the year against the Colts and Jaguars, which should prove to be too much for a team that may be a year away from a playoff spot.
So how will the AFC finish?
I believe the Jaguars will actually beat the Steelers this weekend, solidifying the 5
th slot for them while making the AFC North an interesting race, however I believe the Steelers will win their last two to barely wrap up a division title.
Cleveland will beat the Bills this weekend, and should win their last two against
Cincinnati and
San Francisco to wrap up the 6
th spot.
Prediction:
1. New England (16-0)
2. Indianapolis (14-2)
3. Pittsburgh (11-5)
4. San Diego (11-5)
5. Jacksonville (12-4)
6. Cleveland (11-5)
NFC
Currently:
1. Dallas Cowboys (12-1)
2. Green Bay Packers (11-2)
3. Seattle Seahawks (9-4)
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5)
5. New York Giants (9-4)
6. Minnesota Vikings (7-6)
- New Orleans Saints (6-7)
- Washington Redskins (6-7)
- Detroit Lions (6-7)
- Arizona Cardinals (6-7)
Like the AFC, the top two seeds in the NFC are just about locks to stay there. Also, Seattle has clinched their division, and are now battling Tampa Bay for position. Tampa, while not officially the champions of the NFC South, only need to win one of their final three games to do so, and the return of Jeff Garcia should allow them to do just that. The Giants will clinch a playoff spot with a win this weekend against the Redskins, although they still need to win two games in order to secure the 5th seed.
The 6th seed has been a revolving door all season long, with a number of teams battling it out for the final playoff spot. Currently, the white-hot Minnesota Vikings are holding it down with a one game lead and enough momentum to carry every team in the conference. However, they face a fairly tough end to the season with Chicago, Washington, and Denver coming up. Their rushing offense has been absolutely devastating, averaging 172 yards per game with rookie phenom Adrian Peterson and veteran Chester Taylor running behind that incredible offensive line. With Tarvaris Jackson playing much better as of late, and a stout rushing defense that ranks #1 in the NFL, you can bet they have a good chance at winning those three games against rush-heavy offenses. Trying to make up ground is everyone’s preseason NFC Champion New Orleans Saints. While they have the stars on offense, they have been inconsistent all season, and with the loss of Deuce McCallister early in the season and Reggie Bush last week, it seems they have to rely solely on the arm of Drew Brees. While that is not necessarily a bad thing, it is tough to get by on just passing in this league. However, it’s very possible they win their last three games against Arizona, Philadelphia, and Chicago and sneak in to the playoffs, based on their better in conference record compared to Minnesota. The Washington Redskins have had an up and down year, and it’s going to get a lot tougher with the loss of Jason Campbell. Another loss could be devastating to this team, and you figure that would come this weekend at Giants Stadium. However, if it is not against the Giants, it would surely come against either the Vikings or Cowboys, a very tough finish for this team. The Detroit Lions have gone on an incredible skid, losing 5 in a row in almost every way imaginable. Losing Roy Williams on offense is possibly the final blow to a team that has been on the ropes for weeks. Finishing against San Diego, Kansas City, and Green Bay could mean three losses to end the year, and a 6-10 finish to a once-promising season. That brings us to Arizona, the team of potential seemingly every season. They engage in the NFC version of ‘most important game of the week’ tomorrow when they visit New Orleans to see which team keeps their playoff hopes alive. However, Arizona is 2-5 on the road this season, which doesn’t bode well for them.
How will it all finish in the NFC?
I see the Saints beating the Cardinals this weekend to move to 7-7 and ending the Cardinals chances at the playoffs.
I also believe the Giants beat the Redskins this weekend, and a Lions loss will make it a two team race for the 6
th seed between
Minnesota and
New Orleans.
However,
Minnesota’s hot streak will continue and they should handle the offense-less Bears and Redskins before taking on
Denver in the finale.
New Orleans will have a tough time adjusting to a lackluster running game with no threat on the ground, and a team like
Philadelphia could sneak up and beat them with their solid secondary.
The Giants should handle the Redskins and also beat the Bills next weekend, which would clinch the 5
th seed for them.
Prediction:
1. Dallas (14-2)
2. Green Bay (14-2)
3. Seattle (12-4)
4. Tampa Bay (11-5)
5. New York Giants (11-5)
6. Minnesota Vikings (10-6)